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TFL SAY TRAFFIC MODELLING “NOT RELIABLE”

TfL has acknowledged that it will have to reconsider fundamental parts of its case after new traffic counts were published on 11 November.

The latest figures from TfL show a much larger than expected difference between the modelled 2001 traffic levels and the new 2005 figures. TfL admitted that previous traffic modelling and forecasts - upon which its evidence at the six-month-long Inquiry has been based - were “not reliable”.

TfL say (In document TfL/200), “Of most significance in relation to assignment of the changes in traffic resulting from both general growth and the TGB is the higher base level of traffic along the Harrow Manor Way and Knee Hill corridor.”

Overall traffic levels with the TGB will be higher increasing the potential for congestion. TfL are now reviewing the tolling strategy, mitigation measures (particularly in the Harrow Manorway/Knee Hill corridor), the economic case, the environmental assessment and considering reducing the resident’s discount area.

TfL will provide further evidence to the Inquiry, when its work is complete, at Charlton on 20 December at 10am with a Procedural meeting to discuss the implications of this new evidence on 22 December at 10am. Come along to the Inquiry and be involved in key decisions that will affect the future of your local area. The Inquiry, which was expected to finish before the end of this year, will then be adjourned and will not resume until 31 January 2006 at the earliest.